The Choco-Latie Candies company makes candy-coated chocolates, 40% of which are red. The production line mixes the candies randomly and packages ten per box. Calculate the probability that at least 3 of the candies in a box are red. A: 0.8327B: 0.1693C: 0.2006D: 0.7624

Respuesta :

From the problem, 40% are red and so 60% are not red.

The formula for calculating the probability of exact number of candies :

[tex]P(r)=_nC_r(a)^r(b)^{n-r}[/tex]

where n = number of sample

r = number of specific samples

a = percentage of one sample

b = percentage of the other sample

The problem is looking for the probability that at least 3 of the candies in a box are red.

This is also the same as the probability that at most 3 of the candies in a box are NOT red subtracted from 1.

[tex]\begin{gathered} P(red)+P(notred)=1 \\ P(red)=1-P(notred) \end{gathered}[/tex]

So we need to find the probability of having at most 3 candies are NOT red.

From the problem, n = 10 (because there are 10 candies in a box)

r = 0, 1 and 2 (these are the number of candies that are NOT red)

a = 40% or 0.4 (percentage of red candy)

b = 60% or 0.6 (percentage of not red candy)

The working equation will be :

[tex]P(red\ge3)=1-\lbrack P(0)+P(1)+P(2)\rbrack[/tex]

So we need to find the probabilities of r = 0, 1 and 2.

For r = 0

[tex]_{10}C_0(0.4)^0(0.6)^{10-0}=0.00605[/tex]

As you can see, the exponent of 0.4 is 0 because we need a candy that is NOT red. So it will be 0.

For r = 1

[tex]_{10}C_1(0.4)^1(0.6)^{10-1}=0.04031[/tex]

For r = 2

[tex]_{10}C_2(0.4)^2(0.6)^{10-2}=0.12093[/tex]

Using the working equation from above.

[tex]\begin{gathered} P(red\ge3)=1-\lbrack0.00605+0.04031+0.12093\rbrack \\ =1-0.16729 \\ =0.83271 \end{gathered}[/tex]

The answer is A. 0.8327