An article in Knee Surgery, Sports Traumatology, Arthroscopy, "Arthroscopic meniscal repair with an absorbable screw: results and surgical technique," (2005, Vol. 13, pp. 273-279) cites a success rate more than 90% for meniscal tears with a rim width of less than 3 mm, but only a 67% success rate for tears of 3-6 mm. If you are unlucky enough to suffer a meniscal tear of less than 3 mm on your left knee, and one of width 3-6 mm on your right knee, what are the mean and variance of the number of successful surgeries? Assume the surgeries are independent. Round your answers to three decimal places (e.g. 98.765). Mean = Variance =

Respuesta :

Answer:

Mean = 1.570

Variance = 0.311

Step-by-step explanation:

The tear of the left knee has a width of less than 3 mm, so it has a probability of success P(xl) of 0.9.

The tear of the right knee has a width of 3 to 6 mm, so the probability of success P(xr) is 0.67.

There are 3 outcomes possible:

1) Both surgeries failed

2) One surgery succeed (can be the right or the left knee) and the other fail

3) Both surgeries succeed

We have this sampling distribution:

P(0) = P(L=0;R=0) = (1-0.9)*(1-0.67)=0.1*0.33=0.033

P(1) =  P(L=1;R=0) + P(L=0;R=1) = 0.9*(1-0.67) + (1-0.9)*0.67 = 0.297 + 0.067 = 0.364

P(2) = P(L=1;R=1) = 0.9*0.67 = 0.603

We can calculate the mean as

[tex]\bar{X}=\sum_{X=0}^{2} P(X)*X\\\\\bar{X}=0.033*0+0.364*1+0.603*2=1.57[/tex]

And the variance as

[tex]var=\sum_{X=0}^{2} P(X)*(X-\bar{X})^{2} \\var=0.033*(0-1.57)^{2}+0.364*(1-1.57)^{2}+0.603*(2-1.57)^{2}\\var=0.033*2.465+0.364*0.325+0.603*0.185\\var=0.311[/tex]